Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and related content throughout the year, featuring the following: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety senior awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages reflect the current standings in the race and do not reflect personal preferences for any individual contender. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Predictions are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Writing for a Drama Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): Writing drama race has 165 submissions this year.
Jesse Armstrong, who made history last year as the only sole writer to win outstanding writing (drama) three times, has chosen to submit the pivotal "Connor's Wedding" episode for "Succession." In directing, there will be three helmers up for recognition - Mark Mylod ("Connor's Wedding"), Andrij Parekh ("America Decides") and Lorene Scafaria ("Living+").
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
No surprise, "The White Lotus," which made its move from limited to drama this year, has put Mike White's "Arrivederci" up for both writing and directing races.
HBO's "The Last of Us" submitted only one episode for writing and directing, the emotional "Long, Long Time" by scribe Craig Mazin and helmer Peter Hoar. It focuses on two men riding out the apocalypse, played exquisitely by guest drama actor contenders Murray Bartlett and Nick Offerman.
HBO's "House of the Dragon" has three episodes submitted which include the series premiere title "The Heirs of the Dragon" penned by Ryan Condal.
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner: "Succession" (HBO) - "All the Bells Say" by Jesse Armstrong
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Writing for a Comedy Series
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): Writing (comedy) has 151 submitted episodes across multiple series. ABC's "Abbott Elementary" has three episodes in the running notably last year's winner Quinta Brunson, who submitted the season two opener "Development Day." The mockumentary also submitted "Educator of the Year" (by Claire Scanlon) and "The Fundraiser" by Randall Einhorn.
Brunson, the first Black woman nominated in three comedy categories for the inaugural season, could also become the first Black woman nominated a second time for writing. That also could be the case for FX's "Atlanta" and "What We Do in the Shadows" scribe Stefani Robinson.
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
FX's "The Bear" opted to submit Christopher Storer's "Review" for directing, while in the writing race, Storer opted for "System."
Netflix's "Wednesday" has injected Tim Burton's premiere episode "Wednesday's Child is Full of Woe" for directing and writing.
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Creative Arts predictions in all categories.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner: "Abbott Elementary" (ABC) - "Pilot" by Quinta Brunson
2023 Emmy Predictions:
Outstanding Writing for a Limited Series or TV Movie
Weekly Commentary (Updated June 22, 2023): Directing (limited) has 109 submissions in the running.
The emotional resonance of FX's "Fleishman is in Trouble" could do wonders for its directing duo, Jonathan Dayton and Valerie Faris.
Read: Variety's Awards Circuit for the latest Primetime Emmy predictions in the major categories.
We might also see our first TV movie director recognized in quite some time with Eric Appel's hilarious "Weird: The Al Yankovic Story" from The Roku Channel.
And then there's "Beef," which was a critical favorite but its two leading stars - Steven Yeun and Ali Wong - might be able to bring the series in for the ride, and that also includes its director Lee Sung Jun.
Nomination voting is now open to the 20,000+ members of the Television Academy. The first round of voting ends on June 26 at 10 p.m. PT. The official nominees will be announced on Tuesday, July 12. The 75th Primetime Emmy Awards, produced by Jesse Collins Entertainment, are (tentatively scheduled pending the outcome of the WGA strike) on Monday, Sept. 18 at 8 p.m. ET / 5 p.m. PT on Fox. The two-night Creative Arts Emmys are scheduled for Sept. 9 and Sept. 10.
2022 winner: "The White Lotus" (HBO) - Mike White
DRAMA SERIES | COMEDY SERIES | LIMITED OR ANTHOLOGY SERIES | TV MOVIE | LEAD ACTOR (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTOR (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | LEAD ACTRESS (DRAMA) | LEAD ACTRESS (COMEDY) | LEAD ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTOR (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (DRAMA) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (COMEDY) | SUPPORTING ACTRESS (LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | TALK SERIES | SCRIPTED VARIETY | GAME SHOW | DIRECTING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | WRITING (DRAMA, COMEDY, LIMITED/TV MOVIE) | REALITY (COMPETITION, STRUCTURED, UNSTRUCTURED, HOST)
GUEST ACTOR (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTRESS (DRAMA) | GUEST ACTOR (COMEDY) | GUEST ACTRESS (COMEDY) | VOICE-OVER | SHORT FORM | DOCUMENTARY | MUSIC | ANIMATED | OTHER CATEGORIES
The Primetime Emmy Awards, better known as the Emmys, are given out by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences (ATAS). Since 1949, the awards have recognized excellence in American primetime television programming. They are divided into three classes - Primetime Emmy Awards, the Primetime Creative Arts Emmy Awards (honors artisan achievements), and the Primetime Engineering Emmy Awards (recognizes significant engineering and technological contributions). The typical eligibility period is between June 1 and May 31 of any given year. The Television Academy comprises over 25,000 members, representing 30 professional peer groups, including performers, directors, producers, art directors, artisans, and executives.
Click here to read the full article.