CNN

A hurricane will make its closest pass to Southern California in 25 years, adding to state's weather woes

CNN logo CNN 08.09.2022 23:21:12 Derek Van Dam

More extreme weather - including sweltering heat, intense wind and potentially a year's worth of rain - is forecast for Southern California this week as a hurricane spins in the Pacific Ocean off the coast of Mexico.

As it moves north, Hurricane Kay's winds - far from providing immediate relief from California's climate crisis-driven heat wave - actually could push already record temperatures higher in some places. Then, the storm could threaten flash flooding and drop over just two days the volume of rain parts of Southern California would usually get in a year.

Flood watches are in effect for parts of Southern California and western Arizona.

Kay is expected to remain at hurricane strength until it's around 250 miles from San Diego - something only four other storms have done since 1950, according to the National Weather Service - before weakening as it moves toward the US West Coast.

But the storm doesn't need to be strong "for this to be a major concern for Southern California," said Brandt Maxwell, a National Weather Service meteorologist in San Diego.

Kay is forecast to track parallel to the Baja California peninsula through Friday, pushing what could be record-breaking amount of moisture into Southern California and Arizona. Then just shy of the US-Mexican border, it will turn westward - away from the coast - as it makes the closest pass to Southern California for a hurricane since 1997's Hurricane Nora.

Winds could gust to more than 60 mph as the system interacts with Southern California's mountainous terrain. And those winds will be coming from the east, which means they will have a warming effect on coastal cities; as air travels down mountains, it is compressed and its temperature rises.

It will be similar to the Santa Ana wind phenomenon, which typically occurs in the fall and winter. "We are not calling it Santa Ana winds, but they will have characteristics of them as they pass through canyons and the sloped terrain," Maxwell told CNN.

The warm, dry winds from the east will increase the region's already considerable fire risk. Temperatures could reach 100 degrees Friday in coastal parts of San Diego and Orange counties.

"This happened in 1984 as a Category 1 Hurricane Marie well southwest of San Diego County forced temperatures to reach 100 in San Diego," Maxwell said.

Lows could remain in the 80s overnight Thursday and into Friday morning, making sleeping uncomfortable, especially for those without air conditioning.

Then, the relentless heat will "end abruptly and unusually" late Friday, weather service in Los Angeles said, as the tropical system's cloud cover and rainfall move in, drastically reducing temperatures but creating new hazards: heavy rainfall and a flash flood threat.

Even as the Southwest has been mired in a multi-year megadrought, Kay's rainfall could pose a significant flood danger.

"Confidence remains high for a significant rainfall event across this region," the Weather Prediction Center said Thursday morning. Models suggest moisture over this normally dry area will be well above the 99th percentile for this time of year going into the weekend.

Even though rainfall is desperately needed across parched Southern California, this much rain over a short period can cause creeks and rivers to rise rapidly.

"It's never a good thing to get too much rain all at once, a trait all too common among slow-moving tropical storms," the prediction center said. "Thus, the flash flood potential is summarily also rapidly increasing."

Rainfall of 2 to 4 inches, possibly up to around 6 inches, is expected throughout the mountainous terrain of Southern California, especially on the eastern slopes.

A warning of moderate risk of excessive rainfall - Level 3 of 4 - is in effect for Friday over portions of Southern California and far southwest Arizona, with a slight risk - Level 2 of 4 - in effect by Saturday across more of Southern California, western Arizona and far southern Nevada.

The National Weather Service forecasts 2 to 4 inches of rain over 36 hours Friday and Saturday at Imperial County Airport in southeastern California; the spot gets 2.38 inches of rain on average each year. If Imperial receives more than 3 inches of rain, it would make this month its wettest September, breaking a record set in 1976.

The Imperial Valley region is home to one of the nation's most productive farm belts, especially known for producing winter vegetables for US consumers due to its year-round growing season. The area and nearby regions including Yuma, Arizona, have been dealing with long-term drought and are in contentious negotiations about reducing their hefty water supply from the Colorado River.

In Palm Springs, California, 2 to 4 inches is forecast through the weekend, pushing toward the typical annual rainfall tally of 4.61 inches. Three inches in Palm Springs would put this month in the top three wettest Septembers for the city and make it the wettest since 1976, when it got 4.17 inches; its average September rainfall is 0.24 inches.

Yuma could see 1.5 inches of rain through the weekend, which would make this month the wettest September there since 2009. The city's average September rainfall is 0.68 inches.

For more CNN news and newsletters create an account at CNN.com

vendredi 9 septembre 2022 02:21:12 Categories: CNN

ShareButton
ShareButton
ShareButton
  • RSS

Suomi sisu kantaa
NorpaNet Beta 1.1.0.18818 - Firebird 5.0 LI-V6.3.2.1497

TetraSys Oy.

TetraSys Oy.