© Provided by CBS Sports The Ocean Course at Kiawah Island Golf Resort will host the 2021 PGA Championship starting on Thursday, May 20. Team USA defeated Team Europe at this same venue 20 years ago, while Rory McIlroy emerged victorious from the PGA Championship field here in 2012. This time around, Jon Rahm and Bryson DeChambeau are among the top five golfers in the world, and their short 2021 PGA Championship reflect their recent runs.
William Hill Sportsbook lists Rahm as the second favorite in the PGA Championship 2021 field at 12-1, behind only Dustin Johnson at 11-1. Meanwhile, DeChambeau has PGA Championship odds 2021 of 14-1, which is tied with 2017 champion Justin Thomas. Before locking in your 2021 PGA Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the 2021 PGA Championship predictions and projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The proprietary model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been red-hot since the PGA Tour resumed last June. In fact, it's up almost $10,000 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.
At the Masters in April, McClure nailed Jon Rahm's (+250) top-five finish, as well as Corey Conners' (+550) top-10 showing. In fact, McClure's best bets netted over $450 at the Masters.
In addition, McClure was all over Daniel Berger's win at +1400 in his best bets at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am in February. McClure also nailed Viktor Hovland's (+2500) victory in the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. That was one of many huge calls he's made in the past few months.
This same model has nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed it has seen massive returns.
Now that the 2021 PGA Championship field is taking shape, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.
The model's top 2021 PGA Championship predictions
One huge shocker the model is calling for at the PGA Championship 2021: Bryson DeChambeau, the fifth-ranked player in the world and the 2020 US Open champion, stumbles big-time and barely cracks the top 10. DeChambeau is powerful off the tee and leads the Tour in driving distance, but his driving accuracy percentage ranks 136th, and that weakness will be magnified at the Ocean Course.
DeChambeau does have two wins on tour this season, but it's still been an up and down year for the 2020 US Open champion. He's coming off back-to-back finishes outside the top 40, including a disappointing 46th-place finish at the Masters. He also missed the cut at the Genesis Invitational in February, which knocked him out of the top 10 of the Official World Golf Ranking before recovering with a win at the Arnold Palmer Invitational.
Even with his prodigious power, DeChambeau's 1.752 putting average doesn't even rank among the top 75 on the PGA Tour. Nearly 3.3 percent of his total holes have ended in three-putts, and that percentage ranks 149th. There are just too many factors going against DeChambeau at the Ocean Course, so he's someone to steer clear of for your 2021 PGA Championship bets.
Another surprise: Collin Morikawa, a massive long shot at 22-1, makes a strong run at his second PGA Championship title. Morikawa won this tournament at TPC Harding Park last year in just his second career start in a major. This year, he enters the Ocean Course playing his best stretch of golf with four top-10 finishes, including one win, over his last nine events.
Morikawa is exceptionally balanced in all parts of his game and ranks among the top 10 in both driving accuracy percentage (70.45) and greens in regulation percentage (72.85). No one on tour has gained more strokes in approaching the green, which has helped him reach a 4.64 birdie average, fourth-best among all golfers. The Ocean Course is one of the most difficult in the world with its tree-lined holes and breezy conditions, but Morikawa's game of precision and accuracy is well-suited for the course.
How to make 2021 PGA Championship picks
The model is also targeting four golfers with odds longer than 28-1 to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.
So who will win the 2021 PGA Championship? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 PGA Championship leaderboard, all from the model that is up almost $10,000 since the restart.
2021 PGA Championship odds
Dustin Johnson 11-1
Jon Rahm 12-1
Justin Thomas 14-1
Bryson DeChambeau 14-1
Jordan Spieth 16-1
Xander Schauffele 16-1
Rory McIlroy 16-1
Brooks Koepka 18-1
Collin Morikawa 22-1
Hideki Matsuyama 25-1
Patrick Cantlay 28-1
Daniel Berger 33-1
Viktor Hovland 33-1
Will Zalatoris 33-1
Tyrrell Hatton 33-1
Webb Simpson 33-1
Tony Finau 33-1
Tommy Fleetwood 35-1
Patrick Reed 35-1
Justin Rose 40-1
Cameron Smith 40-1
Scottie Scheffler 45-1
Louis Oosthuizen 50-1
Matthew Fitzpatrick 50-1
Jason Day 50-1
Paul Casey 50-1
Sung-Jae Im 60-1
Joaquin Niemann 60-1
Sergio Garcia 60-1
Adam Scott 60-1
Matthew Wolff 66-1
Shane Lowry 66-1
Marc Leishman 66-1
Harris English 66-1
Corey Conners 66-1
Max Homa 70-1
Abraham Ancer 70-1
Lee Westwood 80-1
Si-Woo Kim 80-1
Francesco Molinari 90-1
Brian Harman 100-1
Gary Woodland 100-1
Billy Horschel 100-1
Rickie Fowler 100-1
Martin Kaymer 100-1
Matt Kuchar 100-1
Bubba Watson 100-1
Keegan Bradley 100-1
Cameron Champ 100-1
Robert Macintyre 125-1
Kevin Kisner 125-1
Branden Grace 125-1
Matt Wallace 125-1
Jason Kokrak 125-1
Christiaan Bezuidenhout 125-1
Kevin Na 125-1
Henrik Stenson 125-1
Ian Poulter 125-1
Brendon Todd 125-1
Phil Mickelson 125-1
Sebastian Munoz 150-1
Brandt Snedeker 150-1
Alex Noren 150-1
Bernd Wiesberger 150-1
Thomas Pieters 150-1
Stewart Cink 150-1
Victor Perez 150-1
Zach Johnson 150-1
John Catlin 150-1
Mackenzie Hughes 150-1
Danny Willett 150-1
Byeong Hun An 150-1
Rasmus Hojgaard 150-1
Garrick Higgo 175-1
Dylan Frittelli 175-1
Rafa Cabrera Bello 175-1
Matthias Schwab 200-1
Thomas Detry 200-1
Ryan Palmer 200-1
Joel Dahmen 200-1
Hudson Swafford 200-1
Thorbjorn Olesen 200-1
Kevin Streelman 200-1
Padraig Harrington 200-1
Tom Lewis 200-1
Adam Hadwin 200-1
Erik van Rooyen 200-1
Chez Reavie 200-1
Carlos Ortiz 200-1
Lanto Griffin 200-1
Charles Howell 250-1
Jimmy Walker 250-1
Martin Laird 250-1
Andy Sullivan 250-1
Sam Horsfield 250-1
Jason Dufner 250-1
Graeme McDowell 250-1
Omar Uresti 300-1
Jim Herman 400-1
Brian Gay 400-1
Vijay Singh 500-1
Davis Love 500-1
Y.E. Yang 500-1
Rich Beem 1000-1
Shaun Micheel 1000-1
John Daly 1000-1