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Just 175 Covid patients are now being admitted to hospital every day

Daily Mail logo Daily Mail 14/04/2021 11:37:32 Luke Andrews Health Reporter For Mailonline
diagram: MailOnline logo © Provided by Daily MailMailOnline logo

Just 175 Covid patients are being admitted to hospital every day, official data revealed while under-65s now make up the majority of those on wards as vaccine-triggered immunity kicks in. 

NHS England statistics showed 51 per cent of Covid patients were in the younger age group in their latest publication, while 49 per cent were among the over-65s who have all been offered at least one dose of the jab.

The promising data will pile yet more pressure on Boris Johnson to quicken the pace of his cautious roadmap, which leaves a gap of six weeks between each easing.

The Prime Minister warned yesterday lockdown was 'overwhelmingly important' in driving down hospitalisations and deaths from the virus, with vaccinations only having an impact later.

But experts say jabs are now having 'an effect' on the critical figures, and that ministers could make plans to lift more restrictions at the next stage on May 17 should they keep heading in the right direction. 

More than 32million Britons have already received a first dose, and yesterday England's drive was expanded to the over-45s. Wales and Northern Ireland have already started offering jabs to the group, but Scotland is yet to finish getting vaccines to the over-50s.

It comes after almost a quarter of Covid deaths in the week to April 2 had factors other than the disease listed as the main cause, which statisticians said was likely because jabs meant the virus could only trigger a mild infection.

diagram: Just 175 Covid patients were admitted to hospitals across England on Sunday, Department of Health data shows. This is the lowest level since mid-September when ministers were happy to allow Britons to sit inside pubs despite no one being jabbed

Just 175 Covid patients were admitted to hospitals across England on Sunday, Department of Health data shows. This is the lowest level since mid-September when ministers were happy to allow Britons to sit inside pubs despite no one being jabbed
© Provided by Daily Mail

NEARLY A QUARTER OF COVID DEATHS WEREN'T TRIGGERED BY VIRUS 

chart, histogram © Provided by Daily Mail

Almost a quarter of Covid deaths were not triggered by the virus at the start of April, official figures reveal.

Office for National Statistics data showed 23 per cent of deaths linked to the disease had the virus listed as a 'factor' but not the 'underlying cause' in the week to April 2, the latest available. 

This means that although the individual had tested positive for Covid a different condition such as dementia or heart disease was considered to have led to their death.

It marks a significant drop from the darkest days of January when less than 10 per cent of deaths in people who had the virus were put down to other causes. 

Professor David Spiegelhalter, an eminent statistician from Cambridge University, said the drop was 'really surprising' but that it was likely sparked by the vaccines.

'One possibility is that the majority of these deaths - there's about 400 in this week - the majority were in over-70s and it is very likely they would have been vaccinated,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.

'It is possible they would have had a very mild form of the disease and so they had Covid but the medical certifier didn't consider that this was the underlying cause.'

He added the promising statistics did not suggest that the Government should change track because it 'essentially just adds to the fact all the indicators are running at extremely good levels'.

Department of Health data shows hospitalisations slipped to mid-September levels on Sunday - when ministers were happy to allow Britons to enjoy pints indoors despite no one having been vaccinated. 

But this number is just for one day, and not the DoH-calculated average over the latest seven-day spell which is slightly higher at 224 admissions every 24 hours by April 4.

Nonetheless, this rate is also at the same levels as in mid-September further suggesting Britain may be able to lift some measures faster. 

Dr Simon Clarke, a microbiologist at the University of Reading, told MailOnline all measures were heading 'in the right direction'.

'When Boris said yesterday about the effect being more down to lockdown I think that's right,' he said, 'but I wouldn't say there was no effect from the vaccines'.

'I'm not against in principle speeding things up, but I think what it will mean is not shortening the dates but moving things from one date to the upcoming one - you might see a bit more added to easing in May.'

Professor Paul Hunter, an epidemiologist at the University of East Anglia, told The Times: 'The relative decline (in hospitalisations) in older age groups is most certainly due to the vaccine.'

Pubs and restaurants in England were allowed to open for outdoor service on Monday in the latest restrictions easing, while shops, gyms and hairdressers were again allowed to raise the shutters.

Many crowded into city centres to take advantage of their newfound freedoms, with revellers pictured huddled together on outdoor tables clutching pints - with some even heading for their first drink and meal in four months that morning as icy rain battered the country. 

The next easing - billed for May 17 - will see hospitality venues allowed to serve people indoors, holidays again permitted, and sports stadiums again allowed to open for up to 4,000 spectators.

But legal limits on wedding guest lists, gatherings of more than 30 people, and orders keeping nightclubs shuttered are set to remain in place until June 21 at the earliest. There is no date for when social distancing and face mask wearing could be dumped.

The Prime Minister warned yesterday it was 'important for everyone to understand that the reduction in these numbers in hospitalisations, and in deaths and infections, has not been achieved by vaccination programme'.

'People don't I think appreciate that it's the lockdown that has been overwhelmingly important in delivering this improvement in the pandemic.

'Of course the vaccination programme has helped, but the bulk of the work in reducing the disease has been done by the lockdown. so, as we unlock, the result will inevitably be that we will see more infection, sadly we will see more hospitalisation and deaths. People have just got to understand that.'

DoH data shows cases went up by 3.9 per cent week-on-week yesterday after a further 2,472 were recorded, and Covid deaths climbed 15 per cent on the previous week to 23.

Experts said rises in cases were expected as measures were eased, because more people would be moving around sparking the increase. 

chart, histogram

© Provided by Daily Mail

Almost a quarter of Covid deaths were not triggered by the virus at the start of April, official figures reveal.

Office for National Statistics data showed 23 per cent of deaths linked to the disease had the virus listed as a 'factor' but not the 'underlying cause' in the week to April 2, the latest available. 

This means that although the individual had tested positive for Covid a different condition such as dementia or heart disease was considered to have led to their death.

It marks a significant drop from the darkest days of January when less than 10 per cent of deaths in people who had the virus were put down to other causes. 

Professor David Spiegelhalter, an eminent statistician from Cambridge University, said the drop was 'really surprising' but that it was likely sparked by the vaccines.

'One possibility is that the majority of these deaths - there's about 400 in this week - the majority were in over-70s and it is very likely they would have been vaccinated,' he told BBC Radio 4's Today programme.

'It is possible they would have had a very mild form of the disease and so they had Covid but the medical certifier didn't consider that this was the underlying cause.'

He added the promising statistics did not suggest that the Government should change track because it 'essentially just adds to the fact all the indicators are running at extremely good levels'.

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mercredi 14 avril 2021 14:37:32 Categories: Daily Mail

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