Arkansas vs. Missouri odds, line: 2021 SEC Tournament picks, predictions from proven computer model

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Mar 20, 2019; Salt Lake City, UT, USA; General overall view of a basketball approaching the rim and net before the first round of the 2019 NCAA Tournament at Vivint Smart Home Arena.

Get ready for a 2021 SEC Tournament quarterfinal battle on Friday as the No. 8-seed Arkansas Razorbacks (21-5) meet the Missouri Tigers (16-8) at 7 p.m. ET at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville, Tenn. The Tigers are coming off a 73-70 win over Georgia in the second round of the SEC Tournament while Arkansas received a bye to this round and has won eight straight. These teams split their two previous matchups this season with each winning on the other team's home court.

The Razorbacks are favored by 5.5 points in the latest Missouri vs. Arkansas odds from William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 149. Before entering any Arkansas vs. Missouri picks, you'll want to see the college basketball predictions from the model at SportsLine.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past four-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of over $2,600 for $100 players on its top-rated college basketball picks against the spread. It has also returned over $400 on all top-rated college basketball picks this season. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on Arkansas vs. Missouri. You can head to SportsLine to see its picks. Here are several college basketball odds for Missouri vs. Arkansas:

• Arkansas vs. Missouri spread: Arkansas -5.5
• Arkansas vs. Missouri over-under: 149 points
• Arkansas vs. Missouri money line: Arkansas -230; Missouri +190

Why Arkansas can cover

The Razorbacks are playing their best ball when it matters the most. Just one month ago they were unranked but haven't lost since then and are now in the top 10. They have a deep squad that loves to push the pace and the Razorbacks rank seventh in the nation in scoring (83.3 PPG). During its eight-game win streak, Arkansas hasn't simply skated by as its average margin of victory is over 11 points and only one of those wins came by fewer than five points.

Arkansas is led by stud freshman Moses Moody, who has racked up a trio of regular season awards including SEC Rookie of the Year, All-SEC First Team and SEC All-Freshman First Team. He ranks third in the conference with 17.5 points per game but gets plenty of support from his teammates. During Arkansas' eight-game win streak, Moody was among five different Razorbacks who led the team in scoring, so they can attack a defense in a multitude of ways.

Why Missouri can cover

The Tigers accomplished what 16 other teams failed to do this season and that's beat Arkansas on the Hogs' home court. Missouri's 13-point win over Arkansas in January should give the team plenty of confidence heading into a neutral-site game. In that regular-season matchup, Missouri held Arkansas to 26.8 percent shooting from the field while Jeremiah Tilmon and Xavier Pinson powered the Tigers' offense with 25 and 23 points, respectively.

Senior guard Dru Smith is often the catalyst for the Tigers on both ends of the court as he leads the team in scoring with 14.2 points per game and has led the SEC in steals in back-to-back years. Smith shoots nearly 40 percent from beyond the arc and knocks down 84 percent of his free throw attempts, so he's efficient from all over the court. He's scored at least 16 points in three straight games while also grabbing a season-high eight rebounds in Mizzou's second-round win over Georgia.

How to make Arkansas vs. Missouri picks

The model has simulated Arkansas vs. Missouri 10,000 times and the results are in. The model is leaning over on the total, and it's also generated a point-spread pick that hits in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.

So who wins Arkansas vs. Missouri? And which side of the spread is hitting in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on, all from the computer model that has crushed its college basketball picks.