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2021 WGC-Workday Championship odds: Surprising PGA picks, predictions from model that nailed six majors

CBS Sports logo CBS Sports 24/02/2021 01:31:16 CBS Sports Staff
Sep 9, 2016; Carmel, IN, USA; Dustin Johnson hits a tee shot during the second round Friday at the BMW Championship at Crooked Stick GC. Mandatory Credit: Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports © Provided by CBS Sports

Sep 9, 2016; Carmel, IN, USA; Dustin Johnson hits a tee shot during the second round Friday at the BMW Championship at Crooked Stick GC. Mandatory Credit: Thomas J. Russo-USA TODAY Sports

It isn't often that a new course becomes a host site for a World Golf Championship event, but The Concession Golf Club in Bradenton, Fla., isn't just any course. Designed by Jack Nicklaus and Tony Jacklin in an homage of their famed 1969 Ryder Cup tie, The Concession welcomes the world's best starting Thursday for the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship. Many of the game's elite players are in the field, including world No. 1 Dustin Johnson, former No. 1s Rory McIlroy, Brooks Koepka and Jon Rahm, defending champion Patrick Reed and long-hitting Bryson DeChambeau.

Johnson, who counts six WGCs among his 24 PGA Tour victories, goes off as the 13-2 favorite in the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship odds from William Hill Sportsbook. Rahm is at 10-1 on the PGA odds board, while McIlroy and Xander Schauffele are both at 16-1. Before making any 2021 WGC-Workday Championship picks or entering any PGA DFS tournaments on sites like DraftKings and FanDuel, be sure to see the latest golf predictions and projected leaderboard from the advanced computer model at SportsLine.

SportsLine's prediction model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has been on fire since the return of the PGA Tour last June. In fact, it's up over $11,100 on its best bets since the restart, nailing tournament after tournament.

Earlier this month at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am, McClure nailed Daniel Berger's win at +1400 in his best bets. McClure was also all over Viktor Hovland's (+2500) victory at the Mayakoba Golf Classic in December. 

After nailing Sergio Garcia (+5500) finishing on top of the leaderboard at the Sanderson Farms Championship, McClure finished up over $6,200 yet again on his best bets. The model had him in the top-five from the start and McClure's best bets included Garcia winning outright. Those who followed that advice saw a massive +5500 return. 

He also finished profitable at the U.S. Open, nailing two of his best bets, including a +1100 top-five bet on Matthew Wolff. McClure hit a top-five bet (+1200) on Doc Redman at the Wyndham Championship, finishing up over $700 on his best bets. Those are just some of his recent big hits. 

In all, the advanced computer model has also nailed a whopping six majors entering the weekend. Anyone who has followed its golf picks has seen massive returns. 

Now that the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship field is locked, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times, and the results were surprising. Head to SportsLine now to see the projected leaderboard.

The model's top 2021 WGC-Workday Championship predictions 

One huge shocker the model is calling for at the WGC-Workday Championship 2021: Justin Thomas, a 13-time PGA Tour winner and one of the top Vegas favorites, stumbles and doesn't even crack the top five. Thomas was one of the hottest players on tour early this season, finishing T-12 or better in each of his first six starts. 

However, Thomas missed the cut last week at the Genesis Invitational after shooting a 77 in the first round. The 27-year-old enters this week's event ranked 117th in driving accuracy percentage (59.76), which doesn't bode well for his chances to finish on top of the leaderboard at The Concession. He's not a strong pick to win it all and there are far better values in the WGC-Workday Championship 2021 field.

Another surprise: Joaquin Niemann, a 50-1 long shot, makes a strong run at the 2021 WGC-Workday Championship title. Niemann has a much better chance to win it all than his odds imply, so he's a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

The 28th-ranked player in the world, Niemann recorded two near-misses at the Sentry Tournament of Champions and Sony Open in Hawaii before taking over a month off to raise more than $2.1 million in his native Chile for an ailing infant cousin. Niemann returned to action at last week's Genesis Invitational, shooting 67-68 early and finishing 43rd.

The winner of the 2020 Military Tribute at The Greenbrier, Niemann ranks ninth on the PGA Tour with a 313.6-yard driving distance. Couple that with a 4.86 birdie average (fifth on tour) and a 69.537 scoring average (fourth on tour), and it is no wonder Niemann is consistently in the mix. This week should be no different at The Concession, as the model loves Niemann's potential as a value pick at the WGC-Workday Championship 2021.

How to make 2021 WGC-Workday Championship picks

Also, the model is targeting three other golfers with odds of 20-1 or higher to make a strong run at the title. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big. You can only see them here.

So who wins the WGC-Workday Championship 2021? And which long shots stun the golfing world? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the projected 2021 WGC-Workday Championship leaderboard, all from the model that's nailed six golf majors and is up over $11,100 since the restart, and find out. 

2021 WGC-Workday Championship odds (via William Hill)

Dustin Johnson 13-2

Jon Rahm 10-1

Rory Mcilroy 16-1

Xander Schauffele 16-1

Justin Thomas 18-1

Patrick Cantlay 18-1

Tyrrell Hatton 20-1

Tony Finau 20-1

Bryson DeChambeau 20-1

Viktor Hovland 25-1

Brooks Koepka 28-1

Patrick Reed 28-1

Daniel Berger 30-1

Webb Simpson 30-1

Sungjae Im 35-1

Collin Morikawa 35-1

Scottie Scheffler 40-1

Tommy Fleetwood 40-1

Adam Scott 50-1

Hideki Matsuyama 50-1

Max Homa 50-1

Matthew Fitzpatrick 50-1

Joaquin Niemann 50-1

Cameron Smith 50-1

Jason Day 50-1

Justin Rose 60-1

Harris English 60-1

Will Zalatoris 60-1

Louis Oosthuizen 60-1

Victor Perez 70-1

Sergio Garcia 70-1

Ryan Palmer 80-1

Marc Leishman 80-1

Shane Lowry 80-1

Bubba Watson 80-1

Robert MacIntyre 80-1

Abraham Ancer 90-1

Jason Kokrak 90-1

Christiaan Bezuidenhout 90-1

Matthew Wolff 90-1

Carlos Ortiz 100-1

Kevin Kisner 100-1

Lee Westwood 100-1

Billy Horschel 100-1

Kevin Na 100-1

24. helmikuuta 2021 3:31:16 Categories: CBS Sports

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