© Jonathan Ernst / ReutersMichael Cohen arrives to testify on Capitol Hill on February 26.
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In written testimony ahead of a hearing conducted by the House Oversight Committee on Wednesday, President Donald Trump's former fixer Michael Cohen will deliver a series of bombshells that could transform the investigation into Russian interference in the 2016 election.
Cohen's testimony, less than 4,000 words, doesn't change the fundamental picture so much as it fills in essential gaps. Cohen will say that Trump was informed about conversations with WikiLeaks about releasing emails related to Hillary Clinton-something the president has denied. Cohen will present a copy of a check reimbursing him for hush money, dated to August 2017. While Cohen has already implicated Trump in a violation of campaign-finance law in court pleadings, that check places the crime during Trump's presidency. Cohen will allege that he lied to Congress at Trump's direction, though by his own account the direction was implicit. Finally, Cohen will claim that Trump was aware of a meeting at Trump Tower between campaign officials, including his son and son-in-law, and Russians in June 2016.
And those are only the most legally consequential claims. Cohen says that Trump made flagrantly racist comments about black people. He will provide documentation of reporting that Trump used his charitable foundation to purchase an oil painting of himself. Of all the news, the thing that might personally enrage Trump the most is that Cohen plans to produce documents showing that Trump's net worth was much smaller than he has said publicly-a topic that infuriates the president.
[Read: Michael Cohen's claim about the Trump Tower meeting is huge-if true.]
"He is a racist. He is a conman. He is a cheat," Cohen says in the testimony.
Yet Cohen will cheer Trump's defenders and disappoint his critics about the ultimate question of the Russia investigation, saying, "Questions have been raised about whether I know of direct evidence that Mr. Trump or his campaign colluded with Russia. I do not. I want to be clear. But, I have my suspicions."
Even if only some parts of Cohen's testimony are credible and substantiated, they would meaningfully advance the Russia story and other allegations surrounding Trump. The most readily proven will likely be the hush money, since Cohen has already offered legally binding statements, as part of a guilty plea, that explain the scheme. While Cohen's description of the arrangement to pay two women who alleged they had sexual affairs with Trump was already public, what is new is Cohen's claim that Trump reimbursed him after taking office. In April 2018, just months after Cohen says he received the check, Trump denied any knowledge of payments. More recently, he has claimed they were a personal transaction and unrelated to politics, and thus did not violate the law.
Cohen's claim about Julian Assange could also be highly consequential. While Trump has said he didn't know anything about email dumps, Special Counsel Robert Mueller has already produced a detailed indictment alleging a scheme in which former Trump aide Roger Stone reached out to WikiLeaks to inquire about coming dumps of emails, which Mueller and the U.S. government say were hacked by Russia and given to WikiLeaks. (Stone denies this.) While Mueller says Stone was in contact with the Trump campaign, no public evidence has directly said Trump was aware. Cohen does. He writes:
In July 2016, days before the Democratic convention, I was in Mr. Trump's office when his secretary announced that Roger Stone was on the phone. Mr. Trump put Mr. Stone on the speakerphone. Mr. Stone told Mr. Trump that he had just gotten off the phone with Julian Assange and that Mr. Assange told Mr. Stone that, within a couple of days, there would be a massive dump of emails that would damage Hillary Clinton's campaign. Mr. Trump responded by stating to the effect of "wouldn't that be great."
But Cohen's claim is based entirely on what he heard. So, too, is his claim that Trump was aware of the June 2016 Trump Tower meeting. In that incident, Donald Trump Jr. was informed that the Kremlin backed his father's campaign. He agreed to a meeting where he expected to receive dirt on Clinton from Russians. He, his brother-in-law Jared Kushner, and then-Trump campaign chairman Paul Manafort all attended. All parties say no dirt was exchanged. When the meeting was revealed by The New York Times in summer 2017, Trump dictated a misleading statement about it, but he has said that was the first time he heard of it.
Months ago, news reports said Cohen would say Trump was aware of the meeting. His testimony offers a vague description, but it's too vague to really assess: "I remember being in the room with Mr. Trump, probably in early June 2016, when something peculiar happened. Don Jr. came into the room and walked behind his father's desk-which in itself was unusual. People didn't just walk behind Mr. Trump's desk to talk to him. I recalled Don Jr. leaning over to his father and speaking in a low voice, which I could clearly hear, and saying: 'The meeting is all set.' I remember Mr. Trump saying, 'Ok good . let me know.'"
Cohen's explanation of his lies to Congress may not satisfy all listeners, either. A blockbuster BuzzFeed report in January said Cohen had told investigators that Trump told him to lie. In his testimony, Cohen argues that Trump did coerce him into lying, but that he was too savvy an operator to say so in explicit terms.
"Before going further, I want to apologize to each of you and to Congress as a whole," Cohen writes. "The last time I appeared before Congress, I came to protect Mr. Trump. Today, I'm here to tell the truth about Mr. Trump."
But as Cohen acknowledges, "Mr. Trump did not directly tell me to lie to Congress. That's not how he operates."
Cohen says that during conversations on the campaign, while he was negotiating in Russia on Trump's behalf, Trump would ask him for updates yet would also "look me in the eye and tell me there's no business in Russia and then go out and lie to the American people by saying the same thing. In his way, he was telling me to lie." Cohen also notes that Trump himself lied publicly about the project.
As a long-time Trump lieutenant, working for him for a decade at the Trump Organization, Cohen also offers an unusual look into Trump's private life. He says that Trump asked if any country run by a black person was not a "shithole" and said that blacks were "too stupid" to vote for him. More broadly, Cohen sums up Trump's character: "He is capable of behaving kindly, but he is not kind. He is capable of committing acts of generosity, but he is not generous. He is capable of being loyal, but he is fundamentally disloyal."
[Jeffrey Goldberg: Trump's mafia mind-set]
Yet as Cohen notes, his testimony will be suspect from the start. He has pleaded guilty to lying to Congress and to bank fraud and tax evasion. The White House has repeatedly said Cohen is not to be believed, most recently in a statement ahead of this week's testimony. The president called him a "rat," a mafia-inflected term that, intentionally or not, seems to confirm that Cohen knows something damaging about him.
Trump's allies have also attacked Cohen. In an astonishing tweet, since deleted, Representative Matt Gaetz of Florida said on Tuesday, "Hey @MichaelCohen212 - Do your wife & father-in-law know about your girlfriends? Maybe tonight would be a good time for that chat. I wonder if she'll remain faithful when you're in prison. She's about to learn a lot." Gaetz was quickly accused of witness tampering. Cohen's testimony was already postponed after he complained that Trump was threatening him on Twitter.
Trump weighed in again early Wednesday morning from Vietnam, where he is set to meet with Kim Jong Un of North Korea. The president tweeted: "Michael Cohen was one of many lawyers who represented me (unfortunately). He had other clients also. He was just disbarred by the State Supreme Court for lying & fraud. He did bad things unrelated to Trump. He is lying in order to reduce his prison time."
Cohen attempts to get out in front of the doubts in his testimony, which he'll deliver under oath. "I recognize that some of you may doubt and attack me on my credibility," he writes. "It is for this reason that I have incorporated into this opening statement documents that are irrefutable, and demonstrate that the information you will hear is accurate and truthful."
In addition to his public testimony Wednesday, Cohen offered closed-door testimony to the Senate Intelligence Committee on Tuesday and will also speak behind closed doors to the House Intelligence Committee on Thursday. And he has reportedly given 70 hours of interviews to Special Counsel Robert Mueller. The Capitol Hill appearances are among Cohen's last big public moments as a free man: On May 6, he is due to report to prison to serve three years for his crimes.